tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Raleigh/Durham via Philadelphia: arrives on time 44%

  1. 15:57 FLL → 18:53 PHL
    AA 1855 · American · 2h 56m · 52% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 PHL → 21:51 RDU
    AA 706 · American · 1h 36m · 65% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 54mFLL 15:57 to RDU 21:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.