tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Minneapolis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 31%

  1. 15:57 FLL → 18:53 PHL
    AA 1855 · American · 2h 56m · 52% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 PHL → 22:02 MSP
    AA 5460 · American, flown by PSA · 3h 12m · 70% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 05mFLL 15:57 to MSP 22:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.