tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Dallas-Fort Worth via Philadelphia: arrives on time 29%

  1. 13:32 ORD → 16:49 PHL
    AA 1859 · American · 2h 17m · 68% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:38 PHL → 20:25 DFW
    AA 2947 · American · 3h 47m · 55% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 53mORD 13:32 to DFW 20:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.