tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → San Francisco via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 7%

  1. 17:29 FLL → 19:48 DFW
    AA 1862 · American · 3h 20m · 44% on time, 7.5% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:44 DFW → 22:30 SFO
    AA 2228 · American · 3h 44m · 20% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time7%First flight not cancelled (7.5% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (20%).
Total trip7h 59mFLL 17:29 to SFO 22:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.