tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Atlanta via Phoenix: arrives on time 55%

  1. 06:00 SMF → 07:54 PHX
    AA 1867 · American · 1h 54m · 93% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:06 PHX → 15:56 ATL
    AA 1373 · American · 3h 49m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 55mSMF 06:00 to ATL 15:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.