tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Las Vegas via Phoenix: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 SMF → 07:54 PHX
    AA 1867 · American · 1h 54m · 93% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:24 PHX → 11:37 LAS
    AA 2037 · American · 1h 13m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 37mSMF 06:00 to LAS 11:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.