tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Houston via Phoenix: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:00 SMF → 07:54 PHX
    AA 1867 · American · 1h 54m · 93% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:54 PHX → 13:36 IAH
    AA 2710 · American · 2h 48m · 75% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 42mSMF 06:00 to IAH 13:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.