tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Eugene via Phoenix: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 SMF → 07:54 PHX
    AA 1867 · American · 1h 54m · 93% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 27m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:21 PHX → 13:06 EUG
    AA 4114 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 45m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 102 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 27m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 06mSMF 06:00 to EUG 13:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.