tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Santa Barbara via Phoenix: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:00 SMF → 07:54 PHX
    AA 1867 · American · 1h 54m · 93% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:04 PHX → 11:40 SBA
    AA 4993 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 12 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 40mSMF 06:00 to SBA 11:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.