tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Ontario via Phoenix: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:00 SMF → 07:54 PHX
    AA 1867 · American · 1h 54m · 93% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:05 PHX → 11:20 ONT
    WN 431 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 20mSMF 06:00 to ONT 11:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.