tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Tampa via Miami: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 10:50 MIA
    AA 1870 · American · 3h 50m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:00 MIA → 13:14 TPA
    AA 2831 · American · 1h 14m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 14mMSP 06:00 to TPA 13:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.