tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Dulles via Miami: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 10:50 MIA
    AA 1870 · American · 3h 50m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Miami (MIA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:10 MIA → 15:53 IAD
    UA 2435 · United · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 53mMSP 06:00 to IAD 15:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.