tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 78%

  1. 05:51 MEM → 07:40 DFW
    AA 1884 · American · 1h 49m · 92% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:50 DFW → 11:19 PHX
    AA 2990 · American · 2h 29m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 28mMEM 05:51 to PHX 11:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.