tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Grand Rapids → Minneapolis via Charlotte: arrives on time 38%

  1. 17:34 GRR → 19:39 CLT
    AA 1891 · American · 2h 02m · 58% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:29 CLT → 22:13 MSP
    AA 2176 · American · 2h 42m · 75% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Grand Rapids). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 37mGRR 17:34 to MSP 22:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.