tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Grand Rapids → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:34 GRR → 19:39 CLT
    AA 1891 · American · 2h 02m · 58% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:27 CLT → 22:00 ORD
    AA 627 · American · 2h 33m · 61% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Grand Rapids). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 26mGRR 17:34 to ORD 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.