tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Miami via Los Angeles: arrives on time 65%

  1. 08:00 PHX → 09:34 LAX
    AA 1892 · American · 1h 34m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 LAX → 19:00 MIA
    AA 3016 · American · 5h 20m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip8h 00mPHX 08:00 to MIA 19:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.