tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 22%

  1. 17:35 DFW → 20:29 ORD
    AA 1893 · American · 2h 55m · 41% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:42 ORD → 00:55 PHL +1 day
    AA 490 · American · 2h 14m · 56% on time, 12.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (12.5% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip6h 21mDFW 17:35 to PHL 00:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.