tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Asheville via Chicago: arrives on time 24%

  1. 17:35 DFW → 20:29 ORD
    AA 1893 · American · 2h 55m · 41% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:29 ORD → 00:23 AVL +1 day
    AA 3493 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 54m · 73% on time, 13.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Asheville is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (13.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 48mDFW 17:35 to AVL 00:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.