tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Birmingham via Chicago: arrives on time 26%

  1. 17:35 DFW → 20:29 ORD
    AA 1893 · American · 2h 55m · 41% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 ORD → 23:28 BHM
    AA 3757 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 59m · 70% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection42%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 58% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (42%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 54mDFW 17:35 to BHM 23:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.