Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Tulsa via Chicago: arrives on time 43%

  1. 17:35 DFW → 20:29 ORD
    AA 1893 · American · 2h 55m · 41% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 36m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 ORD → 00:10 TUL +1 day
    AA 4281 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 01m · 75% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 36m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 31mDFW 17:35 to TUL 00:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.