tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Richmond via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 43%

  1. 07:00 ORD → 09:35 DFW
    AA 1902 · American · 2h 35m · 77% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:29 DFW → 14:24 RIC
    AA 2413 · American · 2h 55m · 67% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 24mORD 07:00 to RIC 14:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.