tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 33%

  1. 07:00 ORD → 09:35 DFW
    AA 1902 · American · 2h 35m · 77% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 DFW → 15:03 LGA
    AA 3088 · American · 3h 33m · 53% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip7h 03mORD 07:00 to LGA 15:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.