tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:01 RDU → 06:00 CLT
    AA 1903 · American · 59m · 95% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:11 CLT → 10:12 JFK
    AA 1029 · American · 2h 01m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 11mRDU 05:01 to JFK 10:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.