tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:01 RDU → 06:00 CLT
    AA 1903 · American · 59m · 95% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:05 CLT → 09:01 LGA
    AA 2043 · American · 1h 56m · 88% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip4h 00mRDU 05:01 to LGA 09:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.