tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:01 RDU → 06:00 CLT
    AA 1903 · American · 59m · 95% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 07:35 CLT → 08:40 MDW
    WN 3048 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 39mRDU 05:01 to MDW 08:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.