tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Orlando via Chicago: arrives on time 28%

  1. 11:26 IAH → 14:17 ORD
    AA 1909 · American · 2h 51m · 64% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:08 ORD → 19:03 MCO
    AA 2064 · American · 2h 55m · 55% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 37mIAH 11:26 to MCO 19:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.