tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Columbus via Chicago: arrives on time 38%

  1. 11:26 IAH → 14:17 ORD
    AA 1909 · American · 2h 51m · 64% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:04 ORD → 17:38 CMH
    AA 3361 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 34m · 81% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 12mIAH 11:26 to CMH 17:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.