tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Cleveland via Chicago: arrives on time 30%

  1. 11:26 IAH → 14:17 ORD
    AA 1909 · American · 2h 51m · 64% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:03 ORD → 17:40 CLE
    AA 4909 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 70% on time, 10.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (10.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 11mIAH 11:26 to CLE 17:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.