tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Austin via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 43%

  1. 11:03 RNO → 16:27 DFW
    AA 1911 · American · 3h 24m · 81% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 DFW → 18:22 AUS
    AA 3402 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 07m · 65% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 19mRNO 11:03 to AUS 18:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.