tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Indianapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 28%

  1. 13:36 IAH → 16:35 ORD
    AA 1915 · American · 2h 59m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 ORD → 20:00 IND
    AA 1951 · American · 1h 11m · 47% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip5h 25mIAH 13:36 to IND 20:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.