tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 30%

  1. 13:36 IAH → 16:35 ORD
    AA 1915 · American · 2h 59m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:34 ORD → 20:50 CLT
    AA 2695 · American · 2h 16m · 62% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 14mIAH 13:36 to CLT 20:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.