Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Houston → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 29%
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13:36 IAH → 16:35 ORDAA 1915 · American · 2h 59m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:34 ORD → 19:19 PHXAA 3261 · American · 3h 45m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 7h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 43mIAH 13:36 to PHX 19:19, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.