tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 41%

  1. 13:36 IAH → 16:35 ORD
    AA 1915 · American · 2h 59m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:07 ORD → 20:42 DTW
    AA 3500 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 35m · 61% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 06mIAH 13:36 to DTW 20:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.