Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Springfield via Chicago: arrives on time 33%

  1. 13:36 IAH → 16:35 ORD
    AA 1915 · American · 2h 59m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:29 ORD → 19:17 SGF
    AA 3626 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 48m · 72% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 41mIAH 13:36 to SGF 19:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.