tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Milwaukee via Chicago: arrives on time 23%

  1. 13:36 IAH → 16:35 ORD
    AA 1915 · American · 2h 59m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:21 ORD → 18:23 MKE
    AA 6211 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 02m · 58% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 47mIAH 13:36 to MKE 18:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.