tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Columbus via Chicago: arrives on time 34%

  1. 13:36 IAH → 16:35 ORD
    AA 1915 · American · 2h 59m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:46 ORD → 20:25 CMH
    AA 4337 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 61% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 49mIAH 13:36 to CMH 20:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.