tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 38%

  1. 10:39 IAH → 12:03 DFW
    AA 1916 · American · 1h 24m · 65% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:10 DFW → 17:56 JFK
    AA 1049 · American · 3h 46m · 58% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 17mIAH 10:39 to JFK 17:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.