tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Hebron via Charlotte: arrives on time 35%

  1. 15:06 IAH → 18:51 CLT
    AA 1919 · American · 2h 45m · 58% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:29 CLT → 21:56 CVG
    AA 2989 · American · 1h 25m · 49% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip5h 48mIAH 15:06 to CVG 21:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.