tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Austin via Charlotte: arrives on time 45%

  1. 15:06 IAH → 18:51 CLT
    AA 1919 · American · 2h 45m · 58% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:29 CLT → 22:17 AUS
    AA 434 · American · 2h 48m · 62% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 11mIAH 15:06 to AUS 22:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.