tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Springfield via Charlotte: arrives on time 52%

  1. 15:06 IAH → 18:51 CLT
    AA 1919 · American · 2h 45m · 58% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 CLT → 21:34 SGF
    AA 4017 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 20m · 76% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 29mIAH 15:06 to SGF 21:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.