tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Norfolk via Charlotte: arrives on time 48%

  1. 15:06 IAH → 18:51 CLT
    AA 1919 · American · 2h 45m · 58% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:24 CLT → 21:45 ORF
    AA 5622 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 21m · 68% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 39mIAH 15:06 to ORF 21:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.