tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Birmingham via Charlotte: arrives on time 50%

  1. 17:30 IAH → 21:15 CLT
    AA 1920 · American · 2h 44m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:28 CLT → 23:00 BHM
    AA 362 · American · 1h 32m · 66% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 30mIAH 17:30 to BHM 23:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.