tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Tampa via Houston: arrives on time 79%

  1. 08:57 PHL → 11:41 IAH
    AA 1927 · American · 3h 44m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 53m layover in Houston (IAH) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:34 IAH → 17:55 TPA
    UA 2812 · United · 2h 21m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 83 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 53m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 58mPHL 08:57 to TPA 17:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.