tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Houston: arrives on time 83%

  1. 08:57 PHL → 11:41 IAH
    AA 1927 · American · 3h 44m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Houston (IAH) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:32 IAH → 16:15 XNA
    UA 4062 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 43m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 18mPHL 08:57 to XNA 16:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.