tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Memphis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 21%

  1. 18:53 IAH → 20:25 DFW
    AA 1929 · American · 1h 32m · 23% on time, 9.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 DFW → 18:30 MEM +1 day
    AA 1646 · American · 1h 33m · 39% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (9.6% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip5h 10mIAH 18:53 to MEM 18:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.