tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Tulsa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 18:53 IAH → 20:25 DFW
    AA 1929 · American · 1h 32m · 23% on time, 9.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 13m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:38 DFW → 23:47 TUL
    AA 531 · American · 1h 09m · 62% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 88 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 13m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (9.6% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 54mIAH 18:53 to TUL 23:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.