tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Sarasota/Bradenton via Charlotte: arrives on time 53%

  1. 10:19 IAH → 13:58 CLT
    AA 1930 · American · 2h 38m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:51 CLT → 16:48 SRQ
    AA 5627 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 57m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 29mIAH 10:19 to SRQ 16:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.