tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Nashville via Miami: arrives on time 22%

  1. 18:12 IAH → 21:50 MIA
    AA 1931 · American · 2h 38m · 42% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:54 MIA → 00:16 BNA +1 day
    AA 1721 · American · 2h 21m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip6h 03mIAH 18:12 to BNA 00:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.