tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 47%

  1. 20:01 ILM → 21:16 CLT
    AA 1933 · American · 1h 15m · 77% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:28 CLT → 23:53 DCA
    AA 1269 · American · 1h 26m · 64% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip3h 53mILM 20:01 to DCA 23:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.