tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 49%

  1. 20:01 ILM → 21:16 CLT
    AA 1933 · American · 1h 15m · 77% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:39 CLT → 00:01 ORD +1 day
    AA 3014 · American · 2h 22m · 65% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Wilmington). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 00mILM 20:01 to ORD 00:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.